{"id":47318,"date":"2025-07-04T08:35:02","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T12:35:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/?p=47318"},"modified":"2025-07-04T08:41:05","modified_gmt":"2025-07-04T12:41:05","slug":"reporte-agroclimatologico-julio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/en\/clima\/reporte-agroclimatologico-julio\/","title":{"rendered":"Reporte agroclimatol\u00f3gico julio"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>El agroclimatol\u00f3logo Patricio Gonz\u00e1lez entrega las proyecciones del presente mes, en el cual continuar\u00e1 el d\u00e9ficit de precipitaciones, con una buena acumulaci\u00f3n de horas de fr\u00edo, pero un riesgo de heladas tempranas.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El presente informe<em>&nbsp;<\/em>tiene dos objetivos:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1.- Proyecciones, para julio de 2025, respecto a la evoluci\u00f3n del evento fr\u00edo La Ni\u00f1a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2.- Ambientes agroclimatol\u00f3gicos que podr\u00edan caracterizar a julio 2025, a la provincia de\u00a0Curic\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Proyecciones del evento fr\u00edo La Ni\u00f1a julio 2025<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"884\" height=\"579\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Grafico-reporte-clima-julio.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-47320\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Grafico-reporte-clima-julio.png 884w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Grafico-reporte-clima-julio-300x196.png 300w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Grafico-reporte-clima-julio-768x503.png 768w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Grafico-reporte-clima-julio-18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 884px) 100vw, 884px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Los modelos climatol\u00f3gicos probabil\u00edsticos siguen favoreciendo que durante julio existan, en el oc\u00e9ano Pac\u00edfico ecuatorial central, condiciones neutrales. Esto indica que no estar\u00e1n presente ni el evento c\u00e1lido El Ni\u00f1o (que favorece las lluvias) como tampoco La Ni\u00f1a (asociada a d\u00e9ficit de lluvias). El gr\u00e1fico indica probabilidades del 89% de que eso ocurra (barras plomas del gr\u00e1fico). Sin embargo, las condiciones meteorol\u00f3gicas se han presentado con los extremos previstos. Durante junio solo precipitaron 124.6 mil\u00edmetros; en el a\u00f1o 2024 la acumulaci\u00f3n mensual sumaba 293.6 mil\u00edmetros. Debemos recordar que durante los primeros meses del a\u00f1o pasado estaba culminando el evento c\u00e1lido El Ni\u00f1o; fen\u00f3meno asociado justamente a mayor cantidad de lluvias. Al 30 de julio el d\u00e9ficit, en Curic\u00f3, alcanza a un 17%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Proyecciones de las condiciones agroclimatol\u00f3gicas en Curic\u00f3 julio 2025<\/strong><br>La escasa llegada de sistemas frontales en junio permiti\u00f3 la ocurrencia de olas de fr\u00edo polar que dejaron, el lunes 30, m\u00ednimas de -4.4 grados bajo cero. A lo anterior se suman m\u00e1ximas que no superaron los 7\u00b0 u 8\u00b0 C.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lo anterior favoreci\u00f3 la acumulaci\u00f3n positiva de Horas-fr\u00edo. En mayo se acumularon solo 132 HF, durante junio se elevaron a 357 HF. Si sumamos las 23 HF de los primeros 3 d\u00edas de julio, tenemos un registro de 512 HF. En mayo y junio de 2024 se hab\u00edan acumulado 480 HF.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De continuar las condiciones de escasa y puntuales ocurrencias de sistemas frontales, el mes de julio podr\u00eda sumar entre 480 a 550 HF lo cual, probablemente elevar\u00eda las HF, al 31 del mes, a valores entre 900 a 990 Horas. Lo anterior estar\u00eda proyectando una tendencia positiva en esta variable. No obstante, los modelos probabil\u00edsticos estiman d\u00e9ficit de lluvias invernales; se suma a lo anterior la presencia de algunas dorsales c\u00e1lidas, las cuales podr\u00edan elevar las temperaturas y la isoterma en la cordillera andina, contribuyendo con probables deshielos invernales. Estos extremos, tanto t\u00e9rmicos como pluviom\u00e9tricos, est\u00e1n siendo m\u00e1s recurrentes cada a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El llamado es a cuidar el agua, tecnificando el riego y evitando p\u00e9rdidas por filtraciones en los canales de transmisi\u00f3n desde la fuente al predio. Los d\u00e9ficits de lluvias actuales estar\u00edan asociados al cambio clim\u00e1tico que, desde el 2007, han hecho predominar lluvias intensas en corto plazo seguido por varios d\u00edas de fr\u00edo y heladas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finalmente queremos anticipar el riesgo de heladas tempranas. En condiciones de lluvias deficitarias las tendencias indican mayor presencia de este evento. Durante junio una extensa masa de aire polar dej\u00f3 heladas extremas, desde el 28 de junio al 1 de julio. Estas fueron m\u00e1s intensas en sectores rurales en que se midieron entre -5 y -6\u00b0 C bajo cero. Tambi\u00e9n la duraci\u00f3n temporal tuvo una amplitud de 9 horas: desde las 0:00 horas hasta las 09:00 de la ma\u00f1ana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En los siguientes informes iremos monitoreando este fr\u00edo extremo y sus posibilidades que se extiendan hacia septiembre en la provincia de Curic\u00f3.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Patricio Gonz\u00e1lez M.Sc. (Universidad de Chile) Dip. Agroclimatolog\u00eda Universidad de Israel.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":273,"featured_media":47319,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4002,18,430,35],"tags":[194,1487,1497,1790,1881],"category_proveedor":[],"pais":[],"class_list":["post-47318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horas-de-frio","category-cambio-climatico","category-clima","category-noticias","tag-horas-frio","tag-patricio-gonzalez","tag-cambio-climatico","tag-heladas","tag-reporte-agroclimatico"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Reporte agroclimatol\u00f3gico julio - Smartcherry<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El agroclimatol\u00f3logo Patricio 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