{"id":45808,"date":"2025-05-06T09:14:47","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T13:14:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/?p=45808"},"modified":"2025-05-13T11:57:58","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T15:57:58","slug":"reporte-agroclimatologico-mayo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/en\/clima\/reporte-agroclimatologico-mayo\/","title":{"rendered":"Reporte agroclimatol\u00f3gico mayo"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>El agroclimatol\u00f3logo Patricio Gonz\u00e1lez analiza las condiciones del presente mes, dando un pron\u00f3stico de c\u00f3mo se avecina el inicio de la dormancia y la acumulaci\u00f3n de las horas fr\u00edo, adem\u00e1s de entregar algunas recomendaciones para los productores sobre el conteo de dichas horas.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>El presente informe<em>&nbsp;<\/em>tiene dos objetivos:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1.- Las proyecciones para mayo de 2025 respecto a la evoluci\u00f3n del evento fr\u00edo La Ni\u00f1a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2.- Ambientes agroclimatol\u00f3gicos que podr\u00edan caracterizar a mayo 2025, a la provincia de Curic\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Proyecciones del evento fr\u00edo La Ni\u00f1a mayo 2025<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"556\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-1-1024x556.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45811\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-1-1024x556.png 1024w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-1-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-1-768x417.png 768w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-1-18x10.png 18w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-1.png 1350w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>De acuerdo a los modelos climatol\u00f3gicos probabil\u00edsticos se favorece un Oc\u00e9ano Pac\u00edfico neutral durante el invierno del hemisferio sur, con una probabilidad mayor al 60%, de que contin\u00fae durante el periodo de mayo a agosto de 2025 (barras plomas del gr\u00e1fico).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Durante el presente oto\u00f1o las condiciones meteorol\u00f3gicas, asociadas a La Ni\u00f1a, en el \u00e1rea del Oc\u00e9ano Pac\u00edfico ecuatorial central, respecto a las temperaturas superficiales del mar (TSM), se debilitaron en el centro y centro-oriental del oc\u00e9ano Pac\u00edfico ecuatorial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En conjunto, el sistema acoplado oc\u00e9ano-atm\u00f3sfera reflej\u00f3 una alta tendencia a condiciones neutrales. Es decir, sin la presencia de El Ni\u00f1o (asociado a lluvias intensas invernales) y tampoco La Ni\u00f1a (relacionada con sequias extremas).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Todos los modelos clim\u00e1ticos analizados indican que las condiciones neutrales continuar\u00e1n durante el invierno. Los pron\u00f3sticos favorecen condiciones neutrales, con una probabilidad del 60%, durante el invierno 2025.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Proyecciones de las condiciones agroclimatol\u00f3gicas en Curic\u00f3 mayo 2025<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"475\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-2-1024x475.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45812\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-2-1024x475.png 1024w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-2-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-2-768x356.png 768w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-2-18x8.png 18w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/GRAFICO-2.png 1352w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>El gr\u00e1fico indica la acumulaci\u00f3n invernal de horas-fr\u00edo (base 7.2\u00b0 C) que probablemente se acumular\u00e1n en El\u00a0Maule durante el invierno 2025 sin la presencia de El Ni\u00f1o, que genera condiciones m\u00e1s c\u00e1lidas (descenso de horas-fr\u00edo), como tampoco de La Ni\u00f1a cuyos d\u00e9ficits de lluvias aumenta los d\u00edas despejados y fr\u00edos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ejemplo de lo anterior es que durante el invierno de 2015, con la presencia de un evento c\u00e1lido El Ni\u00f1o, las horas-fr\u00edo fueron de solamente 806.7 horas; en cambio en el a\u00f1o 2007, con la llegada de un fen\u00f3meno fr\u00edo La Ni\u00f1a, las horas-fr\u00edo subieron a 1693.7 horas, entre mayo y agosto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por lo anterior, debido a que ninguno de los dos eventos estar\u00eda presente, podemos estimar un promedio normal de acumulaci\u00f3n por mes, tal como lo indican las cifras del gr\u00e1fico. La suma probable, a finales de agosto, oscilar\u00eda entre los 1036.8 a 1300 horas-fr\u00edo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Este valor ser\u00eda suficiente para cumplir los requisitos fisiol\u00f3gicos durante la dormancia, seg\u00fan las variedades de cerezas. Sin embargo, y por los efectos actuales del cambio clim\u00e1tico, es recomendable llevar una contabilidad, mediante sensores meteorol\u00f3gicos en cada huerto, de su acumulaci\u00f3n mes a mes y as\u00ed tomar las medidas pertinentes con anticipaci\u00f3n, ante cualquier eventualidad durante el invierno.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"580\" height=\"386\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-45813\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-.png 580w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura--300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura--18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 580px) 100vw, 580px\" \/><\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Patricio Gonz\u00e1lez M.Sc. (Universidad de Chile) Dip. Agroclimatolog\u00eda Universidad de Israel.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":273,"featured_media":45809,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4002,430,35],"tags":[162,194,1487,1881,2776],"category_proveedor":[],"pais":[],"class_list":["post-45808","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horas-de-frio","category-clima","category-noticias","tag-dormancia","tag-horas-frio","tag-patricio-gonzalez","tag-reporte-agroclimatico","tag-mayo"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Reporte agroclimatol\u00f3gico mayo - Smartcherry<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"El agroclimatol\u00f3logo Patricio Gonz\u00e1lez analiza las condiciones del 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