{"id":41615,"date":"2024-11-20T12:54:59","date_gmt":"2024-11-20T16:54:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/?p=41615"},"modified":"2024-11-20T12:55:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-20T16:55:00","slug":"que-pasara-con-el-segundo-mandato-de-donald-trump-en-materia-agricola","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smartcherry.cl\/en\/noticias\/que-pasara-con-el-segundo-mandato-de-donald-trump-en-materia-agricola\/","title":{"rendered":"Qu\u00e9 pasar\u00e1 con el segundo mandato de Donald Trump en materia agr\u00edcola"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>A pesar de las promesas proteccionistas que marcaron su campa\u00f1a, y de posibles consecuencias para el \u00e1mbito agr\u00edcola y de exportaciones, expertos aseguran no estar preocupados ante posibles alzas arancelarias ni efectos similares que puedan afectar a la industria agroalimentaria.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Desde el triunfo del candidato republicano en las elecciones presidenciales del 4 de noviembre en Estado Unidos, comenz\u00f3 de inmediato la especulaci\u00f3n de varios sectores productivos en torno al futuro de la relaci\u00f3n comercial con el pa\u00eds del norte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Al respecto, conversamos con <strong>Gonzalo Salinas, Senior Far Analyst de Rabo Research<\/strong>, quien confirm\u00f3 que a pesar del miedo que existe en torno al \u201cestilo Trump\u201d, no habr\u00eda mayores efectos en el futuro de las exportaciones de frutas desde Chile en el corto plazo, especialmente de las cerezas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u201cEn el caso de esta fruta, efectivamente hay mucho miedo con todo lo que se habl\u00f3 del proteccionismo, tomando en cuenta lo que ocurri\u00f3 en su mandato anterior y los coletazos que esto provoc\u00f3. El reflejo m\u00e1s importante de eso fue el caso de las nueces, que todav\u00eda est\u00e1n con temas arancelarios producto de medidas de respuesta de los distintos pa\u00edses, en ese caso la India, a normas que impuso Trump en su primer mandato\u201d<\/em>, afirm\u00f3 el analista.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Otro detalle relevante dentro de este an\u00e1lisis es que de haber alg\u00fan efecto negativo, \u00e9ste no se ver\u00e1 reflejado en las exportaciones de cerezas en el corto plazo, puesto que el Presidente electo asumir\u00e1 reci\u00e9n el 20 de enero, fecha para la cual la temporada 2024-2025 ya estar\u00eda bastante avanzada como para notar un posible da\u00f1o en la exportaci\u00f3n de nuestro fruto rojo hacia la naci\u00f3n de Am\u00e9rica del Norte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Un estilo impredecible m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de una profunda relaci\u00f3n comercial<br><\/strong>Si bien en el caso de las exportaciones m\u00e1s generales de fruta desde Chile hacia Estados Unidos se han generado algunas restricciones, espec\u00edficamente centradas en el \u00e1mbito fitosanitario, siempre ha existido una relaci\u00f3n profunda y de larga data, la que se ha consolidado con el Tratado de Libre Comercio (TLC) que hoy regula todas las materias de inter\u00e9s entre ambos pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u201cHay contingencias, como guerras u otros eventos que ocurren a nivel mundial y que hacen que no demos nada por descartado. Todo esto puede escalar y en especial, con personajes con el estilo de Trump, como lo vimos en su primera administraci\u00f3n, lo que ahora nuevamente podr\u00eda dar lugar a muchas medidas a futuro\u201d<\/em>, destac\u00f3 Gonzalo Salinas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No obstante, hizo hincapi\u00e9 en que durante las \u00faltimas tres a cinco temporadas, Estados Unidos ha venido cobrando relevancia como el principal destino para la ansiada diversificaci\u00f3n de mercados. Por lo tanto, si llega a haber alguna medida como el aumento de aranceles para el caso de nuestro pa\u00eds, a\u00fan teniendo el TLC, esto ser\u00eda negativo para Chile porque limitar\u00eda a uno de los principales pa\u00edses para la diversificaci\u00f3n de destinos de exportaci\u00f3n de cerezas de Chile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u201cPodr\u00eda haber una diferencia de estilo, de pol\u00edtica arancelaria y de toda una administraci\u00f3n a partir del pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o con la llegada de Donald Trump. Sin embargo, la cereza en Estados a\u00fan es un producto poco relevante hoy en el invierno del hemisferio norte, de forma directa no podr\u00eda haber ning\u00fan efecto y si aplica alguna medida, tampoco lo podemos descartar, pero Trump es impredecible, va a ser muy dif\u00edcil vislumbrar lo que podemos esperar de lo que \u00e9l podr\u00eda hacer o no hacer\u201d<\/em>, expres\u00f3 el analista de Rabo Research.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Senior Far Analyst de Rabo Research, Gonzalo Salinas, convers\u00f3 con Smartcherry.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":273,"featured_media":41616,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[1979,2249,2303,3838,3841,108],"category_proveedor":[],"pais":[],"class_list":["post-41615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias","tag-estados-unidos","tag-frutas","tag-industria","tag-donald-trump","tag-agroalimentaria","tag-cerezas"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.3 (Yoast SEO v27.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Qu\u00e9 pasar\u00e1 con el segundo mandato de Donald Trump en materia agr\u00edcola - Smartcherry<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Expertos aseguran no estar preocupados ante posibles alzas arancelarias o efectos similares que 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